Pre-tourney Rankings
Wright St.
Horizon
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.2#145
Expected Predictive Rating+2.0#137
Pace64.2#309
Improvement+5.0#16

Offense
Total Offense-2.1#216
First Shot+2.3#110
After Offensive Rebound-4.3#350
Layup/Dunks-1.7#258
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#37
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#63
Freethrows-2.4#317
Improvement+2.8#52

Defense
Total Defense+3.3#89
First Shot+1.1#141
After Offensive Rebounds+2.2#12
Layups/Dunks+1.7#108
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#139
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#68
Freethrows-3.6#341
Improvement+2.2#64
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 226   South Dakota W 77-69 68%     1 - 0 +4.2 -4.2 +8.0
  Nov 14, 2015 238   Cal St. Northridge L 67-72 71%     1 - 1 -9.6 -6.2 -3.6
  Nov 15, 2015 163   @ Northern Illinois L 59-65 44%     1 - 2 -3.3 -0.7 -3.6
  Nov 20, 2015 7   @ Kentucky L 63-78 4%     1 - 3 +6.1 -3.7 +9.8
  Nov 28, 2015 196   @ George Mason L 39-66 52%     1 - 4 -26.2 -29.1 +0.9
  Dec 04, 2015 198   Georgia St. L 46-59 73%     1 - 5 -18.1 -22.1 +2.6
  Dec 08, 2015 15   @ Xavier L 55-90 6%     1 - 6 -16.3 -14.6 +1.5
  Dec 13, 2015 244   @ Miami (OH) L 67-72 62%     1 - 7 -6.9 -2.0 -5.1
  Dec 17, 2015 299   Charleston Southern W 71-65 89%     2 - 7 -5.9 -11.7 +5.4
  Dec 20, 2015 246   Bowling Green W 83-47 80%     3 - 7 +28.3 +8.1 +20.7
  Dec 22, 2015 174   Murray St. W 65-49 68%     4 - 7 +12.4 -3.6 +17.9
  Jan 02, 2016 114   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 84-82 OT 31%     5 - 7 1 - 0 +8.3 +7.0 +1.3
  Jan 04, 2016 122   @ Green Bay L 68-76 33%     5 - 8 1 - 1 -2.2 -3.8 +1.7
  Jan 09, 2016 255   @ Northern Kentucky W 60-46 65%     6 - 8 2 - 1 +11.2 -3.3 +17.1
  Jan 14, 2016 281   Cleveland St. W 70-53 87%     7 - 8 3 - 1 +6.2 +3.7 +4.0
  Jan 16, 2016 289   Youngstown St. W 81-45 87%     8 - 8 4 - 1 +24.8 -0.3 +24.9
  Jan 18, 2016 179   Detroit Mercy W 77-76 69%     9 - 8 5 - 1 -2.8 -6.0 +3.1
  Jan 22, 2016 52   Valparaiso W 73-62 29%     10 - 8 6 - 1 +17.9 +7.5 +10.4
  Jan 24, 2016 331   Illinois-Chicago W 80-66 93%     11 - 8 7 - 1 -1.5 +1.4 -3.4
  Jan 29, 2016 88   @ Oakland L 63-89 22%     11 - 9 7 - 2 -16.7 -9.2 -8.0
  Jan 31, 2016 179   @ Detroit Mercy L 68-75 47%     11 - 10 7 - 3 -5.0 -4.0 -1.4
  Feb 04, 2016 114   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 84-83 53%     12 - 10 8 - 3 +1.5 +10.2 -8.7
  Feb 06, 2016 122   Green Bay W 79-60 55%     13 - 10 9 - 3 +19.0 +2.2 +16.0
  Feb 11, 2016 331   @ Illinois-Chicago L 59-64 84%     13 - 11 9 - 4 -14.6 -13.6 -1.0
  Feb 13, 2016 52   @ Valparaiso W 61-59 14%     14 - 11 10 - 4 +14.7 +4.1 +10.8
  Feb 15, 2016 88   Oakland L 73-89 41%     14 - 12 10 - 5 -12.5 -8.0 -3.5
  Feb 20, 2016 255   Northern Kentucky W 67-64 82%     15 - 12 11 - 5 -5.7 -6.8 +1.3
  Feb 25, 2016 289   @ Youngstown St. W 87-81 74%     16 - 12 12 - 5 +0.7 +3.8 -3.5
  Feb 27, 2016 281   @ Cleveland St. W 55-51 72%     17 - 12 13 - 5 -0.9 -10.8 +10.1
  Mar 05, 2016 331   Illinois-Chicago W 74-43 90%     18 - 12 +18.5 -3.7 +20.7
  Mar 06, 2016 179   Detroit Mercy W 82-72 58%     19 - 12 +9.1 -1.8 +10.1
  Mar 07, 2016 88   Oakland W 59-55 31%     20 - 12 +10.4 +2.8 +8.8
  Mar 08, 2016 122   Green Bay L 69-78 44%     20 - 13 -6.1 -4.8 -1.1
Projected Record 20.0 - 13.0 13.0 - 5.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%